Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 5

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Colón Montevideo		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.87
	2.35	3	2.82
	1.9	3.16	4.08
	2.41	3.15	3.01	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.31	3.04	2.97
	2.35	3	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.9)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	3.1 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
40.2%

Draw
30.2%

Atenas de San Carlos
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

29.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colón Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atenas de San Carlos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colón Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atenas de San Carlos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Colón Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Atenas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colón (votes: 1 - 50%). Atenas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Plada J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', Piriz F. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 8).

Colón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atenas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Colón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Colón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.25	Central Español - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWL
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Albion Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.08.24	Colón Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1
13.04.24	Colón Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1

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