Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 17

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	2.85	2.20
	2.95	2.95	2.28
	3.32	3.05	2.30
	3.29	3.02	2.3	Watch
	3.25	2.90	2.25
	3.19	3.19	2.26
	3.20	2.85	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.9)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.25 (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
28.6%

Draw
30.8%

Colón Montevideo
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.7%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

29.3%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 3).

Miramar Misiones has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Colón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Colón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Colón has had a series of home games.

Colón might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25

Last Results with these Odds

Miramar Misiones - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.72%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	River Plate Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Miramar Misiones - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLTL
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3
18.04.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:0

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