Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Arteixo		Arosa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.12
	3.08	3.13	2.2
	3.41	3.12	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.41)	3.12 (3.12)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Arteixo
28.2%

Draw
29%

Arosa
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Arteixo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Arteixo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Atlético Arteixo - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Atlético Arteixo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arosa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arosa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Arteixo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Arteixo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Arteixo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Viveiro - Atlético Arteixo	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Noia - Atlético Arteixo	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético Arteixo - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Barbadás - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Arteixo - Alondras	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTL
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Arosa - Noia	5:2 ✺
11.10.25	RC Villalbes - Arosa	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Arosa - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Alondras - Arosa	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Arosa - Lugo B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	3:5
05.05.24	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	2:1
13.01.24	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	1:1
26.03.23	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	2:2
04.12.22	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	3:1

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