Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Atlético Astorga		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.3
	10	5.75	1.29	Watch
	10	5	1.28	Watch
	8.77	5.17	1.31
	10	5.5	1.29	Watch
	10.5	5.25	1.29	Watch
	9.8	5.2	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.72 ↑ (9.54)	5.34 ↑ (4.65)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
9.7%

Draw
17.6%

FC Andorra
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.8%

20%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

14.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Andorra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Atlético Astorga - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: FC Andorra will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia S. (G) 2. Lorenzo D. 4. Calvo A. 5. Manso M. A. 3. Herrador 22. Bueno C. 6. Albertin 14. Alvarez D. 7. Pelaez D. 10. Amor J. 21. Vales I.	1. Ratti N. (G) 2. Miguel 22. Arroyo A. 3. Marsa J. 12. Shabani L. 11. Alvaro 5. Vilanova A. 14. Molina S. 24. Moreno P. 9. Nieto M. 27. Benito I.
Substitutes
13. Barredo P. 18. Crespo O. 11. Fernandez S. 12. Lopes J. 19. Lorento 17. Matos A. 9. Presa M. 8. Quintana P. 15. Thiao A.	23. Alende D. 21. Bover R. 17. Calvo A. 10. Gil I. 33. He X. 25. Martin D. (G) 13. Oier (G) 18. Petxa A. 8. Samper S. 19. Scheidler A.

Preview

Atlético Astorga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Andorra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Astorga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Andorra is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
29.10.23	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés B	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Atlético Astorga - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Ponferradina B - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Atlético Astorga - Colegios Diocesanos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW
- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	FC Andorra - Levante	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Valladolid - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	FC Andorra - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Elche - FC Andorra	2:1 ✺
05.10.23	FC Andorra - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

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