Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Balear (Palma)


	Atlético Baleares		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.65	3.4	4.55
	1.68	3.4	5.02	Watch
	1.67	3.1	4.8
	1.63	3.42	5.18
	1.67	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	4.75 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
54.2%

Draw
26.9%

Coruxo
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Atlético Baleares - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Gandarillas M. ⚽,
58', Marchante B. 🟥,
85', 1 - 1, Miguelito ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 3-0.

Baleares is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Coruxo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baleares may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baleares is considered a favorite.

We predict that Baleares will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baleares won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Baleares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.05.26	Coruxo - Atlético Baleares	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.05.26	Espanyol B - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Baleares - Terrassa	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Porreres - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Baleares - Andratx	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.05.26	Coruxo - Atlético Baleares	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Coruxo - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Lealtad - Coruxo	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.05.26	Coruxo - Atlético Baleares	0:3
16.02.20	Coruxo - Atlético Baleares	1:1
29.09.19	Atlético Baleares - Coruxo	2:0

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