Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Lealtad		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.8	1.52
	5.01	4.57	1.52
	5.21	4.55	1.48	Watch
	5.5	4	1.44
	6.52	3.96	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (5.25)	4.18 ↓ (4.47)	1.49 (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
16.7%

Draw
21.9%

Coruxo
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

20.6%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

19.9%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Lealtad - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 1 - 0, Yerpes Santillana S. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Cidre X. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
90+14', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Lealtad is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 1.

Recent form of Lealtad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coruxo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Coruxo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lealtad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	UD Ourense - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Lealtad - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Lealtad	3:4 ✺
29.03.26	Lealtad - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLL
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Coruxo - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Coruxo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Coruxo - Lealtad	1:0
09.05.21	Coruxo - Lealtad	2:1
11.04.21	Lealtad - Coruxo	0:0
14.05.17	Coruxo - Lealtad	2:0
18.12.16	Lealtad - Coruxo	3:0
17.04.16	Coruxo - Lealtad	2:1
29.11.15	Lealtad - Coruxo	2:0

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