Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		1 Dezembro

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.25	6.7
	1.57	3.90	5.40	Watch
	1.37	4.05	8.05
	1.39	4.04	6.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	6.66 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
63.9%

Draw
22.5%

1 Dezembro
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Académica Coimbra's performance.

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académica Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+4%)

Académica Coimbra - 1 Dezembro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Alves C. (G) 23. Karseladze J. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 6. Montez A. 17. Marcos Paulo 5. Silva L. (C) 9. Barbosa N. 18. Cuba 28. Cascavel	47. Oliveira J. (G) 88. Abreu M. 13. Bernardo J. (C) 24. Edu 26. Freitas J. 85. Infante A. 8. Vito 6. Lima P. 44. Gomes C. 19. Dede 79. Cardoso D.
Substitutes
21. Candeias D. 12. Gabriel Passos 1. Macedo N. (G) 8. Pereira F. 10. Pereira N. 93. Souza B. 7. Tiago Andre 14. Triana C. 27. Vitor G.	99. Anjos R. (G) 25. Dahlke J. 91. Diawara M. 31. Gaio P. 9. Karvounis P. 33. Mane L. 23. Menezes L. 17. Nazarit J. 2. Ramos P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Cardoso D. ⚽, Vito (A),
44', Bernardo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barbosa N. ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
63', Karseladze J. ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
67', Freitas J. ↓, Gaio P. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Marcos Paulo ⚽,
78', Dede ↓, Nazarit J. ↑,
80', Edu 🟨,
81', Cascavel 🟨,
82', Silva L. ↓, Triana C. ↑,
89', Cardoso D. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
90+1', Gomes C. 🟨,
90+10', Infante A. 🟨,

Preview

Académica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

1 Dezembro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Académica is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
01.11.25	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Amora - Académica Coimbra	3:3 ✺
11.10.25	Lusitano GC - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWLW
- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
01.11.25	Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	1 Dezembro - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	1 Dezembro - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.10.25	Atlético CP - 1 Dezembro	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mafra - 1 Dezembro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
09.08.25	1 Dezembro - Académica Coimbra	2:1
18.01.25	Académica Coimbra - 1 Dezembro	1:2
05.10.24	1 Dezembro - Académica Coimbra	1:2
05.11.23	1 Dezembro - Académica Coimbra	0:1
08.08.23	Académica Coimbra - 1 Dezembro	1:1

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