The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético El Vigía 34%
Draw 28%
Ureña 38%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.5%
29.1%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
29.3%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético El Vigía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Ureña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético El Vigía than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ureña than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
60', 0 - 1, ⚽,
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Vigía won 2.
El Vigía is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ureña has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
El Vigía could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, El Vigía has recorded 4 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:34 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for El Vigía against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:17 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).
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