The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ureña 56.6%
Draw 22.2%
Trujillanos 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
27.6%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
27.7%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ureña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ureña's performance.
Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trujillanos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ureña than the current prediction. (-17.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ureña that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trujillanos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Ureña - Trujillanos Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ureña will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Trujillanos will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, ⚽,
13', 1 - 2, ⚽,
34', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ureña won 0.
Ureña has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Trujillanos is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ureña may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Ureña has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:17 (averaging 0.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ureña against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Trujillanos - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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