Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 18

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Cantolao		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.65	Watch
	4.4	3.5	1.65
	4.45	3.95	1.7	Watch
	4.65	3.83	1.71
	4.65	3.83	1.72
	4.5	3.8	1.62
	4.6	3.95	1.69	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (2.94)	3.82 ↑ (3.68)	1.68 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
20.7%

Draw
24.2%

Atlético Grau
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

24.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cantolao's form might have worsened.

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cantolao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Cantolao - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cantolao will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Grau will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Limousin C. (G) 24. Delgado V. 18. Acosta M. 4. Moreira F. 55. Duclos F. 19. Tamariz A. 9. Espinoza Torres R. 20. Ramirez D. 5. Guarderas R. 7. Vergara H. 14. Regalado I.	28. Alvarez P. (G) 4. F. Rojas 31. Caballero E. 13. Franco D. 3. Tejada M. 30. Moyano A. 22. Lopez J. 6. Rodas E. 25. Mora O. 9. Marquez F. 11. Bandiera N.
Substitutes
15. Calabrese B. 35. Huani M. 30. Huerto J. 29. Lojas S. 50. Lozada J. (G) 34. Montes G. 8. Ramirez L. 26. Vargas J. 27. Velasco S.	2. Ampuero A. 10. de la Cruz P. 33. Fernandez R. (G) 18. Godos F. 8. Marcos N. 17. Milesi A. 15. Rostaing J. 24. Salinas R. 16. Vivanco P.
Coaches
Socola J.	Comizzo A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18).

Cantolao is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Grau is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
07.10.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cantolao	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Cantolao - ADT Tarma	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Cantolao - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cantolao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TLLLW
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
08.10.23	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Atlético Grau - Sport Huancayo	0:0 ✺
21.09.23	Cusco - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
04.06.23	Atlético Grau - Cantolao	3:0
26.07.22	Cantolao - Atlético Grau	1:2
26.02.22	Atlético Grau - Cantolao	1:0
30.10.20	Cantolao - Atlético Grau	0:0
29.02.20	Cantolao - Atlético Grau	1:0

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