Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Plazas Alcid (Neiva)


	Atlético Huila		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3	2.2
	3.3	2.85	2.3
	3.61	3.03	2.35
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.34	3.15	2.27
	3.25	3.05	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.11)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.26 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
28.1%

Draw
30.7%

Atlético Nacional
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

29.1%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Figueroa J. (G) 27. Lerma J. 4. Caicedo L. 5. Ariza A. 23. Medina B. 24. Robles C. 7. Hernandez S. (C) 20. Gil Mosquera F. A. 10. Vinicius M. 11. De La Rosa W. 29. Lucumi C.	23. Mier K. (G) 6. Roman A. 3. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 2. Zapata C. (C) 77. Angulo A. 5. Duque J. 14. Mejia R. 7. Moreno N. 10. Cantera M. 26. Deossa N. 9. Duque J.
Substitutes
90. Caicedo B. 13. Delgado D. 3. Escorcia L. 18. Guerrero E. 69. Luna Tobar C. 8. Tavera R. 1. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)	21. Angel Gutierrez T. 1. Castillo H. (G) 11. Jader 32. Ocampo E. 31. Palacios Alzate B. 24. Ramirez E. 30. Solis Romero J. E.
Coaches
Craviotto N.	De Andrade W. A.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 1.

Recent matches Atlético Huila is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Nacional is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 14-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
11.08.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
04.08.23	Atlético Huila - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
30.07.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
14.07.23	Atlético Huila - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLW
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Copa
17.08.23	Atlético Nacional - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
13.08.23	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.08.23	Racing - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
06.08.23	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.08.23	Atlético Nacional - Racing	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.02.23	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila	3:1
09.10.21	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	1:4
06.08.19	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila	4:1
10.02.19	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	1:1
23.09.18	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	1:0
02.06.18	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila	1:0 penalties
29.05.18	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	0:0

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