Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: da Silva Machado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3


	Atlético Nacional		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.37	3	3.1
	2.35	3.05	3.35
	2.39	3.17	3.34
	2.2	2.88	3.1
	2.35	3.13	3.2	Watch
	2.38	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	3.22 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
40%

Draw
30.9%

Racing
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

31%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Racing have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	70%	15%

Atlético Nacional - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Racing will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castillo H. (G) 42. Castro C. 3. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 2. Zapata C. (C) 77. Angulo A. 30. Solis Romero J. E. 5. Duque J. 26. Deossa N. 31. Palacios Alzate B. 9. Duque J. 7. Moreno N.	13. Tagliamonte M. (G) 34. Mura F. 30. Sigali L. (C) 33. Piovi G. 3. Rojas G. 29. Moreno A. 5. Nardoni J. 11. Gomez J. 23. Oroz N. 15. Romero M. 7. Hauche G.
Substitutes
21. Angel Gutierrez T. 37. Asprilla Moreno J. 10. Cantera M. 11. Jader 25. Marquinez L. 16. Mosquera S. 32. Ocampo E. 22. Perea O. 24. Ramirez E. 4. Salazar A. 13. Torres Patino J. P. 33. Velasquez S.	31. Cabellos C. 47. Galvan I. 49. Kozlovsky N. 1. Leon R. (G) 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 16. Martirena Torres G. N. 26. Ojeda A. 4. Pillud I. . 35. Quiros S. 37. Rodriguez B. 38. Rubio T. 39. Saliadarre E. D.
Coaches
De Andrade W. A.	Gago F.

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Atlético Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
29.07.23	Atlético Nacional - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
26.07.23	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
16.07.23	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.06.23	Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTLL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	River Plate - Racing	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Racing - Central Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.07.23	Racing - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.07.23	Racing - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTT

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