Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid B		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.53	3.15	5.6
	1.55	3.45	5.2
	1.59	3.06	6.43
	1.57	3.78	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.13)	3.37 ↑ (3.18)	5.33 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
56.4%

Draw
26.7%

Alcalá
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.9%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

19.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid B's performance.

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-27.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+25.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Madrid B - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Atlético Madrid B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcalá is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atlético Madrid B to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.10.21	Complutense Alcalá - Atlético Madrid B	0:4 ✺
10.10.21	Atlético Madrid B - Moratalaz	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Villaviciosa de Odón - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
15.09.21	Atlético Madrid B - Trival Valderas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTWW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.10.21	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	4:0 ✺
10.10.21	Carabanchel - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0 ✺
25.09.21	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Alcalá - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.08.17	Alcalá - Atlético Madrid B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.04.13	Atlético Madrid B - Alcalá	3:0

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