Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Atlético Madrid B		Granada B

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.33
	1.72	3.5	4.75
	1.77	3.8	4.52
	1.78	3.65	4.53
	1.75	3.48	4.5
	1.7	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.07)	3.58 ↑ (3)	4.51 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
53.5%

Draw
25.9%

Granada B
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid B's performance.

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Granada B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Madrid B - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Iturbe A. (G) 22. Perez P. 3. Vasiljevic I. 5. Kostis I. 14. Arumi J. 7. Bri D. 20. Maroto M. 8. Mini 6. Ndiaye Dione A. 11. El Jebari S. 17. Nino A.	1. Lopez A. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 4. Van Rijn N. 23. Lopez D. 22. Osei P. 14. Saenz P. 20. Clavijo D. 15. Sangare L. 30. Rodelas S. 9. Julito 11. Talaveron D.
Substitutes
27. Bonar J. 10. Calatrava A. 18. da Costa M. 4. Gomez M. 15. Martinez D. 19. Mestanza A. 24. Mestre S. (G) 25. Munoz D. 16. Puga C. 21. Raihani A. 9. Touaizi N.	17. Ballo K. 36. Bello E. 2. Castro R. 7. Gonzalez M. 16. Griger A. 18. Gutierrez E. 26. Lozano J. 6. Masllorens J. 29. Mortimer N. 10. Perez C. 13. Tristan P. (G)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.23	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Atlético Madrid B - Córdoba	1:6 ✺
11.11.23	Atlético Madrid B - Recreativo Huelva	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLT
- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.23	Granada B - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Ceuta - Granada B	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Granada B - Castellón	0:3 ✺
04.11.23	Antequera - Granada B	5:2 ✺
28.10.23	Granada B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

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