Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Melilla		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.3
	2.87	2.9	2.3
	3	3	2.4	Watch
	3.29	2.93	2.46
	3.29	2.83	2.47
	3.08	3.02	2.35
	2.95	3	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.8)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
30.1%

Draw
31.1%

Atlético Madrid B
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Melilla - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 12. Hernandez D. 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 22. Gnali J. 18. Siddiki O. 5. Masogo A. 10. Gonzalez J. 17. Perez S. 20. Garcia D. 11. Vinicius Tanque	13. Iturbe A. (G) 27. Bonar J. 4. Gomez M. 5. Kostis I. 22. Perez P. 10. Calatrava A. 23. Gismera A. 8. Mini 20. Maroto M. 7. Bri D. 9. Touaizi N.
Substitutes
23. Cantarero O. 8. Cotan A. 7. Garcia M. 21. Hernandez J. 9. Jose Enrique 14. Marchena A. 15. Martin D. 2. Pepe Romero 24. Serrano J. (G) 4. Suarez D. 3. Yuste A.	14. Arumi J. 18. da Costa M. 11. El Jebari S. 19. Mestanza A. 35. Mestre S. (G) 3. Moreno M. 6. Ndiaye Dione A. 17. Nino A. 16. Puga C.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 3.

Melilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético Madrid B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Melilla won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Náxara - Melilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Melilla	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Melilla - Antequera	0:1 ✺
12.10.23	Málaga - Melilla	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Melilla - Intercity	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Castellón - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Atlético Madrid B - San Fernando	4:2 ✺
01.10.23	Intercity - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.03.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:0
23.10.22	Atlético Madrid B - Melilla	0:0
16.05.21	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	3:0
05.05.21	Atlético Madrid B - Melilla	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.12.19	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	0:1
Club Friendly
17.08.18	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	1:2

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