Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Ceuta		Granada B

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.75	6
	1.51	3.87	7.28
	1.51	3.87	7.28
	1.47	3.84	7.1
	1.52	3.65	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	3.73 ↑ (3.3)	6.45 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
61%

Draw
24.7%

Granada B
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

27.6%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

18.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceuta - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 6. Erimuya S. 5. Lolo Gonzalez 16. Redruello Nimo C. 15. Doncel C. 14. Iglesias J. 8. Melendez A. 22. Teguia C. 23. Gonzalez N. 21. Jota	1. Lopez A. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 4. Van Rijn N. 5. Bosch M. 30. Rodelas S. 14. Saenz P. 15. Sangare L. 7. Gonzalez M. 20. Clavijo D. 10. Perez C. 11. Talaveron D.
Substitutes
4. Caparros A. 10. Carnicer F. 9. Cristian 20. Danese F. 18. Falcon E. 11. Garcia P. 3. Macias A. 13. Mejias T. (G) 2. Rodriguez F. 19. Romera D. 24. Stopajnik T. (G)	17. Ballo K. 2. Castro R. 23. Lopez D. 32. Lopez H. 26. Lozano J. 6. Masllorens J. 29. Mortimer N. 22. Osei P. 13. Tristan P. (G)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Granada B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ceuta is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Córdoba - Ceuta	3:3 ✺
05.11.23	Ceuta - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Algeciras - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Ceuta - Castellón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTLL
- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Granada B - Castellón	0:3 ✺
04.11.23	Antequera - Granada B	5:2 ✺
28.10.23	Granada B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Granada B - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	San Fernando - Granada B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

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