Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid B		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.04	3.19	3.83
	2.01	3.22	3.65
	2	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)	3.16 ↑ (3)	3.62 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
45.6%

Draw
29.1%

San Fernando
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29.5%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Atlético Madrid B - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Iturbe A. (G) 27. Bonar J. 3. Moreno M. 15. Martinez D. 22. Perez P. 20. Maroto M. 6. Ndiaye Dione A. 7. Bri D. 8. Mini 18. da Costa M. 21. Raihani A.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 20. Estacio X. 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 11. Aquino D. 10. Ramos D. 6. Molina D. 14. Fullana F. 16. Leon C. 17. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
14. Arumi J. 10. Calatrava A. 11. El Jebari S. 23. Gismera A. 4. Gomez M. 5. Kostis I. 19. Mestanza A. 24. Mestre S. (G) 17. Nino A. 16. Puga C. 25. Torres D. 9. Touaizi N.	13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 7. Biabiany J. 8. Martin A. 19. Martinez P. 22. Oliva G. 15. Ruiz V. 12. Selma D.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Madrid B is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético Madrid B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.10.23	Intercity - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Madrid B - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Málaga - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTTLL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.10.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	San Fernando - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Intercity - San Fernando	3:1 ✺
10.09.23	San Fernando - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWL

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