Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	San Fernando		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.45
	2.7	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3.09	2.66
	2.71	3.1	2.57
	2.75	3.05	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.32)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.55 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
33.5%

Draw
30.2%

Real Murcia
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

31.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Fernando's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Fernando - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 20. Estacio X. 4. Farrando M. 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 7. Biabiany J. 6. Molina D. 10. Ramos D. 17. Sanchez A. 11. Aquino D.	1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Ruiz J. 16. Rofino V. G. 4. Mauro M. 20. Santos S. 14. Leon P. 7. Gomez I. 21. Pina Tomas 17. Vega D. 11. Carrillo J. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 14. Fullana F. 16. Leon C. 19. Martinez P. 18. Naveira U. 22. Oliva G. 15. Ruiz V. 12. Selma D.	24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 6. Gonzalez A. 10. Guarrotxena I. 26. Lopez A. 22. Molina A. 19. Montoro A. 15. Navarro S. 13. Piedra I. (G) 18. Rojas C. 25. Rubio A. 5. Zalaya A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.09.23	Intercity - San Fernando	3:1 ✺
10.09.23	San Fernando - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	San Fernando - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.09.23	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:3 ✺
02.09.23	Real Murcia - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
27.08.23	Granada B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.23	Orihuela - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
12.08.23	Águilas - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.20	San Fernando - Real Murcia	3:3
15.09.19	Real Murcia - San Fernando	1:2
24.02.19	San Fernando - Real Murcia	2:1
07.10.18	Real Murcia - San Fernando	1:1
11.03.18	Real Murcia - San Fernando	2:1
22.10.17	San Fernando - Real Murcia	3:2
05.03.17	San Fernando - Real Murcia	3:1

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