Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Villaralbo		Atlético Mansillés

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.58	2.88
	2.62	2.66	2.92
	2.67	2.66	2.97
	2.63	2.5	2.9
	2.59	2.64	2.88
	2.62	2.66	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)	2.91 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villaralbo
34.3%

Draw
34.6%

Atlético Mansillés
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

34.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

36%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villaralbo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Atlético Mansillés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaralbo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mansillés than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Villaralbo - Atlético Mansillés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).

In recent matches, Villaralbo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mansillés is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villaralbo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Mansilles	7	3	2	2	9:7	2	11
12	Villaralbo	8	2	3	3	13:11	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GCE Villaralbo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.02.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Villaralbo	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Villaralbo - Numancia B	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Villaralbo - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Villaralbo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLTW
- Atlético Mansillés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
31.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Guijuelo	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Mojados - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWTT

Villaralbo - Atlético Mansillés