Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Mansillés		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.82	2.3
	3.25	2.63	2.42
	3.26	2.72	2.43
	3.26	2.65	2.4
	3.25	2.62	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.21)	2.69 ↓ (2.75)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mansillés
28.2%

Draw
33.8%

Palencia CA
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

33.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

33.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mansillés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mansillés than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Atlético Mansillés - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ))

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Palencia CA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansillés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mansillés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mansilles	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
5	Palencia CA	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mansillés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.02.26	Villaralbo - Atlético Mansillés	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Guijuelo	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Mojados - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWT
- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.02.26	Palencia CA - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Numancia B - Palencia CA	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Mirandés B - Palencia CA	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Palencia CA - Colegios Diocesanos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.10.25	Palencia CA - Atlético Mansillés	1:2
17.04.25	Atlético Mansillés - Palencia CA	1:1
30.11.24	Palencia CA - Atlético Mansillés	3:0

Atlético Mansillés - Palencia CA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide