Match Info

Copa do Brasil U20 - Semi-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Atlético Mineiro U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.3	2.28
	2.76	2.85	2.54
	2.41	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.83	3.5	2.26
	2.8	2.9	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.78)	3.16 ↓ (3.29)	2.48 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro U20
33.9%

Draw
29%

São Paulo U20
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

27.6%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

27.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro U20 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG U20 (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Souza L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG U20 won 0.

Atlético MG U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Paulo U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético MG U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro U20
Copa do Brasil U20
18.11.25	Sport Recife U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Sport Recife U20	1:1 ✺
06.11.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1 penalties ✺
29.10.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Real Brasília U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWW
- São Paulo U20
Copa do Brasil U20
19.11.25	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
16.11.25	São Paulo U20 - Santos U20	3:4 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
12.11.25	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
09.11.25	Santos U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
05.11.25	São Paulo U20 - Grêmio U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1
11.07.24	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2
20.06.22	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:2
27.09.21	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1
13.12.20	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:0
25.07.19	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	1:0

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