Match Info

Date: 22 April 2021, Thursday


	Atlético Nacional		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.2
	1.77	3.55	4.4	Watch
	1.78	3.45	4.4
	1.79	3.62	4.72
	1.78	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.64	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.79)	3.55 ↓ (3.67)	4.45 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
52.7%

Draw
26.3%

Universidad Católica
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

16.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Atlético Nacional - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Nacional will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Universidad Católica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
18.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Patriotas	7:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Libertad Asuncion	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
10.04.21	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.21	Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Envigado	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
16.04.21	Universidad Católica - Curicó Unido	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
04.04.21	Universidad Católica - Palestino	2:1 ✺
28.03.21	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
Chilean Super Cup
21.03.21	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

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