Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 2

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)


	Ñublense		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.05	2.52
	2.8	3.2	2.62
	2.96	3.17	2.4
	2.63	3.1	2.4
	2.62	3.28	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.58)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.51 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
33.8%

Draw
29.3%

Universidad Católica
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Ñublense - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 29. Avalos G. 4. Bosso Torres O. 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 14. Campusano J. 8. Graciani G. 20. Jeraldino I. 21. Reyes L. 28. Rivera M. 19. Tapia I. 15. Valencia S.	1. Bernedo V. (G) 19. Ampuero B. 13. Canales A. 28. Cerezo B. 15. Cuevas C. 25. Farias A. 7. Giani J. 36. Gonzalez B. 11. Montes C. 30. Valencia D. 20. Valencia J.
Substitutes
6. Calderon P. 18. Cespedes D. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 10. Plaza M. 9. Rami F. 13. Saavedra D. 16. Sanhueza D. 22. Valdes A.	46. Carcamo V. . Corral D. 22. Gomez M. 2. Gonzalez D. 39. L’Huillier N. 27. Melo D. (G) 18. Rossel J. 8. Zuqui F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Tapia I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez B. ↓, Zuqui F. ↑,
58', Rivera M. 🟨,
63', Tapia I. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
63', Avalos G. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
63', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
64', Canales A. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
77', Graciani G. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
77', Cerezo B. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
77', Montes C. ↓, Carcamo V. ↑,
80', Rami F. 🟨,
84', Rivera M. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
90+6', Rami F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.

Ñublense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uni Católica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ñublense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Copa de la Liga
21.03.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.03.26	Ñublense - Deportes La Serena	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWLW
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Copa de la Liga
22.03.26	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.26	Universidad Católica - Everton de Viña	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	OHiggins - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
01.03.26	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:2
09.10.25	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	1:0
08.03.25	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:1
28.07.24	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:2
23.02.24	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	0:1
26.08.23	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	2:1
03.03.23	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:2

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