The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica 48.9%
Draw 26.5%
Palestino 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
24.8%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
24.4%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Universidad Católica - Palestino Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bernedo V. (G) 2. Gonzalez D. 5. Farias A. 19. Ampuero B. 39. L’Huillier N. 20. Valencia J. 11. Montes C. 10. Palavecino M. 15. Cuevas C. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 28. Zuniga D. 18. Gallegos S. 5. Fernandez J. 21. Araya M. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 27. Munder C. 19. Da Silva N.
Substitutes
13. Canales A. 28. Cerezo B. 25. Corral D. 22. Gomez M. 14. Martinez J. A. 27. Melo D. (G) 3. Mena E. 30. Valencia D. 8. Zuqui F.
11. Benitez J. 16. Bizama J. 7. Carrasco B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 9. Fernandez R. 23. Leon J. 8. Meza N. 1. Salas S. (G) 20. Tapia Paez G.
Coaches
Garnero D.
Munoz C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', Gallegos S. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Giani J. ⚽,
12', Montes Romero F. T. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Munder C. ⚽, Da Silva N. (A),
30', Farias A. ↓, Mena E. ↑,
32', Fernandez J. 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, Palavecino M. ⚽, Montes C. (A),
41', Cuevas C. 🟨,
41', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
45', Fernandez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Araya M. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Giani J. ⚽,
63', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
64', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Palavecino M. (A),
69', Giani J. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
69', Palavecino M. ↓, Zuqui F. ↑,
72', 5 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Cuevas C. (A),
72', Munder C. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
73', Da Silva N. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
75', Montes C. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
75', Ampuero B. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
78', Benitez J. 🟨,
90', 6 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Cuevas C. (A),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
Uni Católica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Palestino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 2.3:1.3).