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Current Win Probability
Audax Italiano 28.2%
Draw 27.5%
Universidad Católica 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.7%
29.9%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
29.7%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 13. Ferrario E. 29. Ortiz M. 4. Pina D. 35. Rebolledo R. 8. Collao M. (C) 28. Mateos F. 23. Matus E. 18. Aedo N. 11. Troyansky F. 21. Chiaverano G.
1. Bernedo V. (G) 2. Gonzalez D. 19. Ampuero B. 26. Diaz J. 39. L’Huillier N. 20. Valencia J. 11. Montes C. 10. Palavecino M. 8. Zuqui F. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
10. Cabral R. 9. Coelho D. 27. Fuentes M. 25. Garrido P. (G) 7. Guajardo P. 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 2. Zenteno V.
6. Arancibia S. 13. Canales A. 25. Corral D. 15. Cuevas C. 22. Gomez M. 14. Martinez J. A. 27. Melo D. (G) 3. Mena E. 18. Rossel J.
Coaches
Lema G.
Garnero D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
4', 1 - 0, Chiaverano G. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Zuqui F. (A),
24', Pina D. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Troyansky F. ⚽, Matus E. (A),
33', 2 - 2, Giani J. ⚽,
40', L’Huillier N. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
41', 2 - 3, Palavecino M. ⚽, Giani J. (A),
44', Lema G. 🟨,
45+1', Collao M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Aedo N. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
52', Giani J. 🟨,
53', 3 - 3, Collao M. ⚽,
57', Palavecino M. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
57', Montes C. ↓, Arancibia S. ↑,
69', Troyansky F. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
75', Collao M. 🟨,
78', Zuqui F. 🟨,
78', Chiaverano G. ↓, Rojas Munoz O. J. ↑,
79', Gonzalez D. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
83', Ahumada T. 🟨,
87', Rojas Munoz O. J. 🟨,
89', 3 - 4, Diaz J. ⚽, Martinez J. A. (A),
90', Mateos F. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
90', Rebolledo R. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
90+1', Cuevas C. 🟨,
90+5', Matus E. 🟨,
90+7', Valencia J. 🟨,
90+8', Loyola F. 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Uni Católica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
Argentina
Watch
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Ahumada T. (G) 
Ortiz M. 
Valencia J. 
Coelho D. 
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