Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Onubense		Ceuta B

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.72	3.02	2.59
	1.50	4.38	5.37	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	2.65	2.95	2.52
	2.66	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.55)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	3.03 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Onubense
38.5%

Draw
30%

Ceuta B
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Onubense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ceuta B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Onubense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Atlético Onubense - Ceuta B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Pecellin D. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Onubense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ceuta B has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Onubense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Onubense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Atl. Onubense	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4
16	Ceuta B	5	1	1	3	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Onubense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.01.26	Córdoba B - Atlético Onubense	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Chiclana - Atlético Onubense	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Onubense - Conil	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Central - Atlético Onubense	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Onubense - Utrera	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTLW
- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.01.26	Ceuta B - Pozoblanco	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ceuta B - San Roque de Lepe	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	Ceuta B - Tomares	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Castilleja - Ceuta B	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Ceuta B - Coria CF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
13.09.25	Ceuta B - Atlético Onubense	1:1
06.10.24	Atlético Onubense - Ceuta B	1:1

Atlético Onubense - Ceuta B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide