Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 16Date: 3 January 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
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Castilleja |
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Ceuta B |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.1 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
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3.43 |
3.04 |
2.17 |
 Watch |
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3.3 |
2.9 |
2.15 |
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3.19 |
3.1 |
2.15 |
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3.33 |
3 |
2.14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3) |
3.05 ↓
(3.19) |
2.14 ↓
(2.21) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castilleja
27.8% | Draw
29.8% | Ceuta B
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Castilleja - Ceuta B Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).Castilleja has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Ceuta B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Ceuta B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Ceuta B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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