Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 17Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday
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Ceuta B |
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San Roque de Lepe |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.75 |
3.1 |
4.55 |
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 |
1.73 |
3.41 |
4.61 |
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1.75 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
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1.72 |
3.4 |
4.65 |
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1.71 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(2.11) |
3.28 ↑
(2.9) |
4.56 ↑
(3.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ceuta B
52.4% | Draw
27.7% | San Roque de Lepe
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta B's performance.San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Roque de Lepe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta B that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+4.9%)Ceuta B - San Roque de Lepe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 9).Ceuta B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).San Roque de Lepe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).San Roque de Lepe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Ceuta B could have a small edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ceuta B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Ceuta B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | San Roque | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
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| 16 | Ceuta B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Ceuta B - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 42.99%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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