Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: TD Place Stadium (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Ottawa		HFX Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.60	3.40
	1.82	3.5	3.6
	1.85	3.65	3.62
	1.87	3.73	3.76	Watch
	1.81	3.55	3.5
	1.8	3.52	3.82	Watch
	1.84	3.55	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	3.59 ↑ (3.58)	3.62 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Ottawa
49.7%

Draw
25.3%

HFX Wanderers
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

HFX Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). HFX Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kalongo C. (G) 37. Arnaud T. 18. Mbomio R. 28. Cloutier L. 5. Aguilar D. 11. Antinoro G. 2. Castro J. 10. Aparicio M. (C) 13. Tabla B. 21. Fleuriau Chateau N. 7. Garcia E.	1. Carducci M. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 2. Linder F. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 7. Telfer R. 6. Callegari L. (C) 5. Olguin L. 22. Zitman S. 8. Johnston I. 14. Bahamboula J. 23. Arilla M.
Substitutes
14. Assi J. 20. Coulanges J. 1. Crampton T. (G) 3. Dunn J. 6. Gutierrez D. 30. Habibullah K. 27. Timoteo W.	12. Astridge S. (G) 20. Ciccarelli T. 33. Hassan I. A. 18. Rampersad A. 11. Reid A. 16. Sow K. 17. Troisi F.
Coaches
Gustavo Leal	Sartini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Alphonse J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Arilla M. ⚽, Callegari L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Zitman S. 🟨,
56', Olguin L. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽, Arnaud T. (A),
64', Zitman S. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
64', Arilla M. ↓, Troisi F. ↑,
72', Arnaud T. ↓, Assi J. ↑,
72', Castro J. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Tabla B. ⚽, Antinoro G. (A),
81', Bahamboula J. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
81', Olguin L. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
88', Tabla B. ↓, Habibullah K. ↑,
88', Garcia E. ↓, Coulanges J. ↑,
90', Alphonse J. ↓, Sow K. ↑,
90+1', Sow K. 🟨,
90+4', Fleuriau Chateau N. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Antinoro G. ↓, Dunn J. ↑,
90+6', Cloutier L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 4.

Recent form of Atlético Ottawa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, HFX Wanderers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

HFX Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Ottawa is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Ottawa	25	12	4	9	38:41	-3	40
6	HFX Wanderers	25	7	6	12	38:42	-4	27

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Ottawa - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Ottawa
Canadian Premier League
01.08.26	Vancouver FC - Atlético Ottawa	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Atlético Ottawa - Pacific FC	3:2 ✺
17.07.26	Atlético Ottawa - Inter Toronto	1:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
08.07.26	Supra du Québec - Atlético Ottawa	3:1 ✺
Canadian Premier League
04.07.26	Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWTLL
- HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
02.08.26	HFX Wanderers - Forge	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	HFX Wanderers - Supra du Québec	2:3 ✺
18.07.26	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
01.07.26	HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa	1:3
17.05.26	Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers	1:0
18.10.25	HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa	0:1
18.07.25	Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers	2:0
24.05.25	HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa	2:0
05.04.25	Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers	2:2
29.09.24	Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers	1:1

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