Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Palencia		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.78	2.42
	3.11	2.76	2.37
	3.15	2.81	2.42
	3.1	2.7	2.4
	3.15	2.78	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.1)	2.77 ↑ (2.77)	2.39 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Palencia
29.3%

Draw
32.8%

Atlético Tordesillas
37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

33.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético Palencia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Atlético Tordesillas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Chatun ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Diez D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 0.

Atlético Palencia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tordesillas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atlético Palencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Palencia CF	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Palencia - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.29%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.04.26	Numancia B - Atlético Palencia	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Villaralbo - Atlético Palencia	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Atlético Palencia - Colegios Diocesanos	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Unionistas B - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.04.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Becerril	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Arandina - Atlético Tordesillas	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Bembibre	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Tordesillas	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Tordesillas - La Virgen del Camino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.12.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia	1:0
26.01.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1
14.09.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia	2:0
20.01.24	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	1:2
09.04.23	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	1:2
11.12.22	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia	1:0
09.04.22	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	3:4

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