The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Numancia B 24.2%
Draw 27.9%
Atlético Palencia 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
28.8%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
28.7%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Numancia B's form might have worsened.
Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Palencia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Palencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Numancia B - Atlético Palencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
Numancia B is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Atlético Palencia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Numancia B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Atlético Palencia might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Numancia B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Numancia B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
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