Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Santa Marta Tormes		Mojados

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.45	7.1
	1.41	4.26	7.02
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.37	4.15	7.6
	1.41	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	4.15 ↑ (3.85)	7.14 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Marta Tormes
65.4%

Draw
21.9%

Mojados
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.6%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.5%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Mojados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mojados than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Santa Marta Tormes - Mojados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Santa Marta Tormes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mojados is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Santa Marta Tormes is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Santa Marta Tormes will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 4:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Santa Marta Tormes	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.01.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Almazán	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Becerril	5:0 ✺
13.12.25	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW
- CD Mojados
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.01.26	La Virgen del Camino - Mojados	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Mojados - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Mojados	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Mojados - Numancia B	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Palencia CA - Mojados	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.09.25	Mojados - Santa Marta Tormes	1:3
22.03.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Mojados	7:0
01.11.24	Mojados - Santa Marta Tormes	0:2

Santa Marta Tormes - Mojados: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide