Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday
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Arandina |
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Atlético Palencia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3 |
2.68 |
2.48 |
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 |
3.06 |
2.78 |
2.5 |
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 |
2.9 |
2.63 |
2.5 |
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 |
3.07 |
2.73 |
2.44 |
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3.1 |
2.71 |
2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.85) |
2.71 ↓
(2.9) |
2.47 ↑
(2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arandina
29.9% | Draw
33.5% | Atlético Palencia
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arandina's performance.Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Palencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arandina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Palencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Arandina - Atlético Palencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. Atlético Palencia will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
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| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 06.09.25 | Atlético Palencia - Arandina | 4:0 | | 11.05.25 | Atlético Palencia - Arandina | 1:2 | | 11.01.25 | Arandina - Atlético Palencia | 3:2 | | 29.01.23 | Arandina - Atlético Palencia | 1:1 | | 25.09.22 | Atlético Palencia - Arandina | 1:2 | | 27.02.22 | Arandina - Atlético Palencia | 1:0 | | 17.10.21 | Atlético Palencia - Arandina | 1:1 |
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