Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Atlético Paso		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.45
	2.95	2.65	2.45
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	3.17	2.66	2.54
	3.07	2.73	2.53	Watch
	3	2.62	2.5
	3.09	2.79	2.5
	2.9	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	2.74 ↓ (3.3)	2.5 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
30.4%

Draw
33.2%

Melilla
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Paso - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Altube Suarez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 1 - 1, Fernandez I. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Fernandez I. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Ramos I. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 3, Altube Suarez A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Atlético Paso	4:3 ✺
01.12.24	Atlético Paso - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
24.11.24	Getafe B - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Coria - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Melilla - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Melilla	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Melilla - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Navalcarnero - Melilla	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Melilla - Coria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.01.23	Atlético Paso - Melilla	1:1
04.09.22	Melilla - Atlético Paso	2:0

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