Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	CD Guadalajara		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.6
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.88	3.35	3.7
	2.02	3.21	3.74
	1.94	3.23	3.78	Watch
	1.91	3.42	3.75
	1.88	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.59)	3.31 ↓ (3.63)	3.7 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
47.8%

Draw
27.6%

Navalcarnero
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Guadalajara's form might have worsened.

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navalcarnero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Canizo A. ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, Ramirez M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Guadalajara in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Coria - CD Guadalajara	0:3 ✺
17.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Conquense - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWT
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Navalcarnero - Melilla	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	3:3 ✺
03.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.04.24	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	3:1
03.12.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	3:2
18.02.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	1:1
02.10.22	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	0:2
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	1:2

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