Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Atlético Paso		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.85
	3.5	3.25	1.87
	3.65	3.4	1.89
	3.53	3.65	1.89
	3.54	3.64	1.89	Watch
	3.58	3.54	1.92
	3.75	3.5	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.74)	3.48 ↑ (3.13)	1.88 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
25.3%

Draw
26.2%

Colonia Moscardó
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

28.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Paso's form might have worsened.

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colonia Moscardó's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Paso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colonia Moscardó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Atlético Paso - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Paso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Moscardó will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Paso (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Ojog D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Atlético Paso is Relegated to

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Atlético Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moscardó will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Paso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.04.25	Móstoles URJC - Atlético Paso	4:1 ✺
06.04.25	Atlético Paso - Getafe B	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Illescas - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLTL
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.04.25	Tenerife B - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Colonia Moscardó - Móstoles URJC	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Getafe B - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Colonia Moscardó - Navalcarnero	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Atlético Paso	4:3

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