Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 18

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Paso		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.78	3	4.33
	1.8	3.2	4.75
	1.8	3.19	4.88
	1.81	3.19	4.89
	1.76	3.13	4.92
	1.81	3.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.3)	3.12 ↑ (2.9)	4.64 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
50.9%

Draw
29.4%

Llerenense
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

33.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Paso's performance.

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llerenense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Paso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Paso - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Recent matches Atlético Paso is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llerenense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Atlético Paso is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Paso won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Atlético Paso - Montijo	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Paso - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Talavera de la Reina - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Paso - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTW
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Llerenense - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Montijo - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Llerenense - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Cacereño - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Llerenense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.09.23	Llerenense - Atlético Paso	0:0

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