Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 13

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Llerenense		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	1.98
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	4.27	2.96	2
	4.28	2.96	2
	3.95	3.02	1.93
	3.7	3.05	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.96)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
23.6%

Draw
30.5%

Talavera de la Reina
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

30%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

29.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llerenense's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llerenense - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Talavera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Talavera will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Ursaria - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Llerenense - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Llerenense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Llerenense - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Llerenense - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLLW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Copa Federacion
22.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Badalona Futur	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Montijo	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL

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