Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Atlético Saguntino		Eldense

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.7	2.2
	3.1	2.7	2.4
	3.18	2.72	2.44
	2.96	2.97	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.77 ↓ (3.1)	2.37 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
28.9%

Draw
32.7%

Eldense
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

21.8%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Saguntino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Saguntino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eldense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Eldense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Eldense have a series of home games.

In this match Eldense is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Saguntino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.03.21	Atlético Saguntino - Torrent	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Recambios Colón - Atlético Saguntino	1:2 ✺
10.03.21	Atlético Saguntino - Roda	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Atlético Saguntino - Alzira	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Villarreal C - Atlético Saguntino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTL
- CD Eldense
Club Friendly
27.03.21	Alcoyano - Eldense	2:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.03.21	Eldense - Hércules B	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Eldense - Benigánim	1:0 ✺
28.02.21	Eldense - Novelda	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Eldense - Crevillente Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.12.19	Eldense - Atlético Saguntino	0:1
10.02.19	Eldense - Atlético Saguntino	0:1
22.09.18	Atlético Saguntino - Eldense	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.02.17	Atlético Saguntino - Eldense	5:2
18.09.16	Eldense - Atlético Saguntino	0:1

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