Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)


	Alcoyano		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	2.5
	2.7	2.87	2.45
	2.75	2.9	2.49
	3.01	3.01	2.5
	2.55	2.88	2.75
	2.88	3.08	2.38
	2.75	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.6)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.51 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
32.8%

Draw
31%

Eldense
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

31.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

32.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-4%)

Alcoyano - Eldense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 4.

Alcoyano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eldense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcoyano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.22	Amorebieta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Alcoyano - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Alcoyano - Castellón	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Cornellà - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.10.22	Eldense - Castellón	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Atlético Baleares - Eldense	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Eldense - SD Logroñés	3:1 ✺
09.10.22	Sabadell - Eldense	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.08.21	Alcoyano - Eldense	3:0
27.03.21	Alcoyano - Eldense	2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
01.12.19	Alcoyano - Eldense	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.02.17	Eldense - Alcoyano	0:2
09.10.16	Alcoyano - Eldense	4:2
10.04.16	Alcoyano - Eldense	1:0
22.11.15	Eldense - Alcoyano	2:1

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