Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Referee: Benitez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Tembetary		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.7	Watch
	4.55	3.6	1.68
	4.68	3.81	1.72
	1.93	3.26	4.09	Watch
	4.73	3.71	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.33)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	2.18 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tembetary
24.7%

Draw
28.5%

Olimpia Asuncion
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.2%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

26.6%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tembetary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Tembetary - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canteros T. (G) 22. Barrios V. 3. Olmedo S. 5. Marotta N. 17. Alonso W. 37. Pereira B. 32. Diaz J. 10. Candia W. 14. Esteche J. F. 11. Charpentier P. 38. Favero C.	1. Olveira G. (C) 30. Morales L. 14. Vargas G. 11. Redes R. 4. Cantero A. 18. Dominguez J. 15. Alfonzo A. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 38. Benitez R. 9. Ferreira S. 31. Gamarra M.
Substitutes
26. Adorno P. 12. Chena J. (G) 6. Colman D. 30. Cristaldo A. 19. Gamarra Escobar R. A. 13. Izquierdo R. 15. Morel A. 9. Morinigo N. 24. Ortiz I. 7. Perez E. 25. Silva Ch. 40. Zarate D.	39. Abreu L. 19. Alcaraz A. 26. Barone F. 5. Barreto Viera O. J. 20. Bogado G. 17. Cardozo F. 27. Delmas E. 34. Ledesma A. 29. Leguizamon I. 16. Paredes A. 28. Quintana H. 13. Verza Martinez L. A. (G)
Coaches
Escobar L.	Almeida E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Diaz J. 🟥,
37', Favero C. ↓, Colman D. ↑,
42', Franco Zayas A. F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Benitez R. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
46', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
46', Ferreira S. ↓, Barone F. ↑,
46', Pereira B. ↓, Cristaldo A. ↑,
46', Colman D. 🟨,
53', Olveira G. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Redes R. ⚽, Quintana H. (A),
67', Candia W. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
69', Gamarra M. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
76', Charpentier P. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
76', Esteche J. F. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
84', Barone F. ↓, Barreto Viera O. J. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Quintana H. ⚽, Cardozo F. (A),
90+5', Morinigo N. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 10).

Recent performances by Tembetary have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tembetary has had a series of away games.

In this match, Olimpia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tembetary won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tembetary
Copa Paraguay
24.09.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	2:3 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.09.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	3:1 ✺
17.09.25	Cerro Porteño - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Ameliano	2:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
02.09.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Atlético Tembetary	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WLTLW
- Olimpia Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
24.09.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	2:3 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.09.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	4:1 ✺
07.09.25	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
03.09.25	Fernando de la Mora - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
24.09.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	2:3 penalties
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.07.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	3:1
16.04.25	Atlético Tembetary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
03.02.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	3:0

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