Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ricardo Gregor (Asunción)

Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Recoleta		Atlético Tembetary

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4.33	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.82	3.35	4.05
	1.85	3.53	4.4
	2.03	3.12	3.89	Watch
	1.85	3.33	4.37	Watch
	1.75	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	3.35 ↓ (3.7)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
49.3%

Draw
27.6%

Atlético Tembetary
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

24.4%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

24.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Falcon G. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 3. Cardozo L. 23. Nunez J. 18. Vargas S. 36. Ferreira B. 5. Romero L. 6. Espinola J. 10. Silva A. (C) 11. Gonzalez L. 17. Baez W.	1. Canteros T. (G) 22. Barrios V. 3. Olmedo S. 5. Marotta N. 17. Alonso W. 20. Gomez A. 32. Diaz J. 10. Candia W. (C) 37. Pereira B. 14. Esteche J. F. 11. Charpentier P.
Substitutes
25. Dominguez J. 37. Falcon J. 8. Galeano F. 33. Gonzalez A. 30. Hernan Perez 32. Lopez M. 4. Pereira M. 26. Piris I. 31. Schupp M. 13. Toledo O. (G) 22. Torres I. 24. Vidal T.	26. Adorno P. 31. Barreto O. 12. Chena J. (G) 38. Favero C. 8. Ferreira E. 19. Gamarra Escobar R. A. 13. Izquierdo R. 15. Morel A. 9. Morinigo N. 7. Perez E. 18. Rojas R. 40. Zarate D.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Escobar L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Diaz J. 🟨,
14', Espinola J. 🟨,
36', Candia W. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽, Barrios V. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Espinola J. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Baez W. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
57', Candia W. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
57', Pereira B. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
66', Baez W. ↓, Vidal T. ↑,
66', Romero L. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
67', Gomez A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
75', Vargas S. ↓, Torres I. ↑,
78', Falcon G. 🟥,
80', Gonzalez L. ↓, Toledo O. ↑,
85', Olmedo S. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Rojas R. (Own goal),
87', Diaz J. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
87', Esteche J. F. ↓, Gamarra Escobar R. A. ↑,
90', Lopez M. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Canteros T. (Own goal),
90+5', Gamarra Escobar R. A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tembetary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Recoleta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Recoleta is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.09.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
02.09.25	Sol de América - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.08.25	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLWT
- Atlético Tembetary
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.09.25	Cerro Porteño - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Ameliano	2:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
02.09.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Atlético Tembetary	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Trinidense	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
14.07.25	Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta	2:3
16.05.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1
08.03.25	Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta	2:3
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.10.24	Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0
29.06.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1

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