Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Atlético Tembetary		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.15	Watch
	3.3	2.95	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.08
	3.7	3.08	2.19
	3.52	2.83	2.31	Watch
	3.47	3.12	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	2.16 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tembetary
26.4%

Draw
30.8%

Sportivo Ameliano
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

30.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

30.4%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tembetary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canteros T. (G) 22. Barrios V. 5. Marotta N. 17. Alonso W. 3. Olmedo S. 18. Rojas R. (C) 32. Diaz J. 40. Zarate D. 23. Gudino G. 11. Charpentier P. 7. Perez E.	23. Martinez M. (G) 26. Gonzalez J. (C) 37. Lezcano Olmedo T. E. 4. Benitez H. 32. Salazar V. 14. Herrero G. 15. Paredes M. 13. Aranda S. 39. Peralta R. 10. Vera E. 27. Escobar R.
Substitutes
26. Adorno P. 31. Barreto O. 10. Candia W. 12. Chena J. (G) 14. Esteche J. F. 38. Favero C. 8. Ferreira E. 20. Gomez A. 13. Izquierdo R. 15. Morel A. 9. Morinigo N. 24. Ortiz I.	16. Aranda P. 3. Baez F. 19. Barreto D. 17. Benitez J. 29. Gonzalez E. 8. Moreira E. 7. Samudio A. 35. Sanchez A. (G) 28. Sanguina J. 31. Servian A. 38. Torales J. 11. Vera F.
Coaches
Escobar L.	Garcia H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Barrios V. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Zarate D. ⚽, Gudino G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Peralta R. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
46', Aranda S. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Sanguina J. ⚽, Paredes M. (A),
49', Charpentier P. 🟨,
58', Salazar V. 🟨,
60', Escobar R. 🟨,
61', Zarate D. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
66', Paredes M. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
66', Salazar V. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Vera E. (Pen),
72', 1 - 3, Sanguina J. ⚽,
73', Diaz J. ↓, Candia W. ↑,
73', Perez E. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
79', Gudino G. ↓, Esteche J. F. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Barreto O. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sportivo Ameliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sportivo Ameliano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tembetary won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tembetary won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tembetary
Copa Paraguay
02.09.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Atlético Tembetary	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Trinidense	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Atlético Tembetary - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Tembetary	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTTL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.09.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
03.09.25	12 de Junio - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
07.07.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Atlético Tembetary	1:0
26.05.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Atlético Tembetary	2:0
24.03.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0
Copa Paraguay
19.10.22	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2

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