Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)


	Atlético Tucumán		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.95	Watch
	1.7	3.58	5.83
	1.7	3.52	5.3
	1.71	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.61)	3.51 ↓ (3.63)	5.4 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
55.4%

Draw
27%

Arsenal Sarandí
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

25.9%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.2%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Tucumán will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. De La Fuente H. 20. Romero N. 2. Bianchi B. 39. Orihuela M. 5. Sanchez A. 8. Acosta G. 23. Carrera R. 10. Pereyra J. 9. Maestro I. 37. Coronel M.	23. Medina A. (G) 11. Brochero L. 25. Breitenbruch N. 4. Chimino C. 13. Pombo J. 5. Sporle A. 27. Cejas J. 18. Muscia G. 8. Rivero B. 22. Guzman L. 28. Moreira L.
Substitutes
27. Alanis M. 44. Carrasco J. 26. Castro T. 6. Flores F. 40. Giani J. 21. Gonzalez M. 16. Kociubinski B. 14. Lagos A. 12. Ojeda L. (G) 32. Paz G. 29. Rodriguez A. 24. Tesuri R.	19. Aguirre N. 37. Alvarez A. 36. Amarilla A. 31. Cabrera I. 30. Cardozo F. 33. Cavallaro J. 2. Gariglio I. 9. Londono F. 7. Pons F. 1. Sultani T. (G) 15. Vega F. 20. Viveros E.
Coaches
Gomez S.	Espinola D.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 3.

Recent matches Atlético Tucumán is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arsenal Sarandí is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Atlético Tucumán is a favorite.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Di Franco F. (Injury) Menendez C. (Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Centurion M. (Injury) Lopez E. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Tucumán won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.09.23	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	2:2 ✺
28.08.23	Atlético Tucumán - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
20.08.23	Rosario Central - Atlético Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTTT
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.09.23	Vélez Sársfield - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	River Plate - Arsenal Sarandí	3:1 ✺
04.09.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentinos Juniors	3:2 ✺
20.08.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
06.08.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Atlético Tucumán	3:1
04.09.21	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.11.20	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	3:2
08.11.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Atlético Tucumán	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.09.19	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
Club Friendly
19.01.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Atlético Tucumán	0:0

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