Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 3

Date: 4 September 2023, Monday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TV Publica


	Barracas Central		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3.3	Watch
	2.5	2.95	3.3
	2.4	2.99	3.55
	1.95	2.8	4.33
	2.34	3.02	3.34
	2.41	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.83)	2.94 ↓ (3.51)	3.5 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
40.7%

Draw
32.2%

Arsenal Sarandí
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

27.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.8%	26.1%	26.1%

Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barracas Central: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Villar G. (G) 33. Mater F. 2. Capraro N. 16. Alvarez F. 15. Prado A. 3. Tolosa F. 7. Colitto L. 19. Arce C. 10. Tapia I. (C) 17. Frias F. 29. Sepulveda B.	23. Medina A. (C) 11. Brochero L. 25. Breitenbruch N. 13. Pombo J. 30. Cardozo F. 5. Sporle A. 22. Guzman L. 18. Muscia G. 8. Rivero B. 28. Moreira L. 33. Cavallaro J.
Substitutes
28. Benitez M. 11. Cantero A. 9. Dominguez Ansorena A. 99. Herrera F. (G) 8. Laba M. 79. Puig M. 26. Rodriguez M. 25. Rosane S. 34. Serrizuela J. P. 23. Susvielles J. 30. Zalazar D.	37. Alvarez A. 36. Amarilla A. 31. Cabrera I. 27. Cejas J. 4. Chimino C. 2. Gariglio I. 9. Londono F. 24. Lucero D. 7. Pons F. 1. Sultani T. (G) 15. Vega F. 20. Viveros E.
Coaches
Rondina S.	Vilar F.

Preview

Barracas Central has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Arsenal Sarandí have a series of home games.

In this match Barracas Central is a favorite.

There will not play in Barracas Central: Desabato A. (Injury) Diaz J. (Injury) Insua R. (Red Card) Lopez L. (Injury) Susvielles J. (Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Centurion M. (Injury) Londono F. (Injury) Lopez E. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.08.23	River Plate - Barracas Central	5:1 ✺
19.08.23	Vélez Sársfield - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.23	Lanús - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
20.07.23	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.08.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentinos Juniors	3:2 ✺
20.08.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
17.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
17.10.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Barracas Central	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.04.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Barracas Central	0:1

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