The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Tucumán 49.6%
Draw 31.9%
Barracas Central 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
30.8%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
30.5%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
37.5%
12.5%
Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. 6. Ferrari G. 36. Vallejo L. 21. Galvan I. 19. Vega L. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 31. Godoy L. 10. Franco N. 23. Lamendola N. 18. Ruiz R.
30. Mino M. (G) 13. Barrios R. 14. Jappert K. 15. Rak Y. 31. Demartini N. 17. Pereyra E. 28. Bogarin R. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 11. Briasco N. 77. Bruera F.
Substitutes
30. Brondo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 5. Fernandez J. 27. Granillo R. 8. Ham E. 32. Infante J. 4. Jung T. 2. Paunero R. 22. Pimienta F. 17. Rodriguez J. 3. Villa M.
37. Campi G. 20. Candia J. 2. Capraro N. 1. Espinola J. (G) 16. Guaraz I. A. 6. Insua R. 36. Lavezzi T. 4. Martinez D. 34. Orsini N. 35. Rolon E. 24. Taborda E. 32. Tobio F.
Coaches
Falcioni J.
Ayude D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Lamendola N. ⚽, Di Placido L. (A),
35', Lamendola N. 🟨,
37', Bruera F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Barrios R. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
46', Bruera F. ↓, Orsini N. ↑,
46', Bogarin R. ↓, Lavezzi T. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Taborda E. ⚽, Lavezzi T. (A),
71', Di Placido L. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
71', Demartini N. 🟨,
74', Vega L. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Orsini N. ⚽, Demartini N. (A),
77', Tesuri R. ↓, Compagnucci G. ↑,
77', Godoy L. ↓, Granillo R. ↑,
83', Briasco N. ↓, Rolon E. ↑,
87', Mino M. 🟨,
90', Pereyra E. ↓, Insua R. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Villa M. ⚽, Ferrari G. (A),
90+2', Lamendola N. ↓, Paunero R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Orsini N. ⚽, Lavezzi T. (A),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2.
Atlético Tucumán has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Barracas Central is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Atlético Tucumán is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Martin Benitez
(Muscle Injury)
Ortiz K.
(Muscle Injury)
Suso G.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Barracas Central: Duarte M.
(Knee Injury)
Gamba L.
(Muscle Injury)
Maroni G.
(Yellow Cards)
Morales G.
(Coach's decision)
Orsini N.
(Knee Injury)
Porra T.
(Inactive)
Tobio F.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Tucumán has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Tucumán against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 2:0.3 per game).
Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now
Barracas Central: 1.08% Atl. Tucuman: 1.01%
Last Results with these Odds
Barracas Central - the odds 4.47 are the expected chance of winning is 20.99%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.