Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 2

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.91	Watch
	4.45	3.05	2
	4.52	3.09	2.04
	4.75	3.34	1.83
	4.1	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (2.65)	3.2 ↑ (3.05)	1.95 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
21.6%

Draw
29.7%

Argentinos Juniors
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Arsenal Sarandí - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Medina A. (G) 33. Cavallaro J. 25. Breitenbruch N. 30. Cardozo F. 13. Pombo J. 5. Sporle A. 18. Muscia G. 8. Rivero B. 10. Toloza S. 11. Brochero L. 28. Moreira L.	25. Martin A. (G) 30. Minissale P. 29. Di Cesare M. 6. Villalba L. 7. Cabrera J. 5. Redondo Solari F. 17. Moyano F. 18. Montiel S. 13. Gonzalez F. 32. Gondou L. 9. Avalos G.
Substitutes
37. Alvarez A. 36. Amarilla A. 14. Burruchaga M. 31. Cabrera I. 27. Cejas J. 22. Guzman L. 38. Lopez M. 24. Lucero D. 7. Pons F. 29. Sosa B. 1. Sultani T. (G) 15. Vega F.	1. Acosta M. (G) 16. Cabral R. 21. Dominguez F. 19. Galvan J. 24. Gonzalez L. 15. Heredia L. 22. Lescano A. 11. Nuss T. 33. Riquelme R. D. 14. Vera G. 10. Veron G.
Coaches
Vilar F.	Milito G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 1.

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Argentinos Juniors is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Arsenal Sarandí have a series of home games.

In this match Argentinos Juniors is a favorite.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Ambrogio L. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.08.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
17.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Banfield - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTLT
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.08.23	Fluminense - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
01.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	Patronato Parana - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.23	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1
26.06.22	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1
29.07.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.03.21	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	3:2
18.12.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentinos Juniors	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.19	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
27.10.17	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	3:2

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