Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlético Tucumán 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.36	2.81
	2.4	3.27	2.74	Watch
	2.37	3.13	2.81
	2.35	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.25)	3.23 ↑ (3)	2.77 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán 2
38.6%

Draw
28.3%

Independiente 2
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-4%)

Atlético Tucumán 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Bordon G. 🟥,
76', Vega C. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Recent performances by Atlético Tucumán 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independiente 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético Tucumán 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
06.05.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	4:1 ✺
02.05.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
22.04.25	Platense 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWTL
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.05.25	Independiente 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Independiente 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Independiente 2 - Racing Club 2	2:3 ✺
09.04.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Independiente 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
25.10.23	Independiente 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:1
20.07.23	Independiente 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:0
23.07.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Independiente 2	1:2

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