Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Louletano		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.92	3.45
	2.04	2.76	3.68
	2.15	2.69	3.91	Watch
	2.06	2.96	3.6
	2.07	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.07)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Louletano
43.2%

Draw
31.8%

Vitória de Sernache
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

31.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.7%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Louletano - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 0 - 2, ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

Louletano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sernache's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Louletano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.05.26	Oliveira Hospital - Louletano	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.04.26	Louletano - Atlético da Malveira	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Louletano	2:5 ✺
04.04.26	Louletano - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLWW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.04.26	Naval - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Fatima - Vitória de Sernache	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLWT

Louletano - Vitória de Sernache: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide