Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Vitória de Sernache		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.87	2.7
	2.58	2.82	2.72
	2.68	2.67	2.74
	2.76	2.67	2.81	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.7
	2.7	2.96	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.54)	2.77 ↓ (2.91)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
34.2%

Draw
32.6%

Oliveira Hospital
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.1%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

32%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
82', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sernache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.05.26	Louletano - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.04.26	Naval - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWLW
- Oliveira Hospital
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.05.26	Atlético da Malveira - Oliveira Hospital	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Oliveira Hospital - Louletano	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	0:1
02.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.02.21	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:0
20.09.20	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	3:0
05.01.20	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	1:1

Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide